Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 50.8% vs Fiddler 52.0% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.5%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Thompson
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Fiddler
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
1
Thompson
Fiddler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (785)
55.4% (737)
-3.2%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
56.7% (30)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (175)
40.9% (215)
+4.8%
On power play, Fiddler has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Thompson is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Thompson shoots left. Fiddler is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Thompson
Fiddler
Home
54.1% (475)
54.0% (489)
Away
47.9% (499)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Thompson
Fiddler
P1
50.0%
52.9%
P2
49.5%
51.6%
P3
54.0%
52.6%
OT
35.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |