Nate Thompson vs William Karlsson
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.4% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 92.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 78.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Thompson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Thompson
Karlsson
Last 9: Thompson 7-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Karlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (628)
47.4% (1,012)
+7.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
45.6% (136)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.3% (113)
53.5% (86)
-2.2%
On even strength, Thompson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Thompson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Thompson shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Thompson
Karlsson
Home
55.6% (329)
47.7% (658)
Away
52.4% (431)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Thompson
Karlsson
P1
55.3%
46.6%
P2
48.1%
47.2%
P3
58.4%
49.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
53.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 1, 2019 | 1 | 03:30 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 09:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | William Karlsson |