Alexander Steen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Steen wins 39.8% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steen 45.7% vs MacKinnon 48.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.5%
Defensive zone
Steen 76.3%
Neutral zone
Steen 60.2%
Result
Alexander Steen favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Steen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Steen
MacKinnon
Last 7: Steen 2-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
Steen
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steen
1
0
Steen
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Steen
MacKinnon
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (251)
48.2% (849)
+0.0%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
51.0% (151)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (100)
44.7% (47)
-8.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Steen is 39.8% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Steen shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Steen
MacKinnon
Home
46.5% (213)
51.2% (521)
Away
41.7% (144)
45.6% (526)
By Period
Steen
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
43.2%
48.0%
P3
38.2%
47.9%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steen
50.0%▲
46.0%
44.5%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Defensive | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 06:09 | Neutral | Alexander Steen |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |