Jori Lehtera vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehtera 50.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Lehtera leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lehtera 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lehtera 53.8%
Neutral zone
Lehtera 71.9%
Result
Jori Lehtera favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lehtera 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
5
1
Lehtera
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
6
Lehtera
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
8
2
Lehtera
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (2,714)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (339)
53.3% (1,412)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
42.8% (502)
-1.5%
On even strength, Lehtera has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lehtera is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,124).
Lehtera shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Lehtera
MacKinnon
Home
53.7% (1,668)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
47.4% (1,489)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Lehtera
MacKinnon
P1
53.2%
47.4%
P2
50.6%
46.6%
P3
48.1%
46.1%
OT
54.3%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 12:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 28, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 01:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 6, 2016 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 08:59 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 22, 2016 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2016 | OT | 02:10 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 16:38 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 02:08 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |