Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Jokinen 46.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 65.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 58.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
MacKinnon
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
MacKinnon
Jokinen
Last 10: MacKinnon 1-9 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
4
MacKinnon
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
5
MacKinnon
Jokinen
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
45.3% (1,142)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
53.4% (131)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.9% (57)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Jokinen is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Jokinen
Home
42.1% (202)
48.8% (692)
Away
43.6% (250)
42.9% (638)
By Period
MacKinnon
Jokinen
P1
43.3%
44.9%
P2
41.5%
45.7%
P3
44.2%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 18:01 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |