Nathan MacKinnon vs Patrik Berglund
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Berglund 47.9% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 63.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
MacKinnon
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Berglund
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
2
MacKinnon
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
MacKinnon
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
47.7% (641)
-5.7%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
59.7% (67)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.0% (75)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Berglund is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Berglund
Home
42.1% (202)
50.2% (422)
Away
43.6% (250)
44.6% (361)
By Period
MacKinnon
Berglund
P1
43.3%
43.8%
P2
41.5%
46.3%
P3
44.2%
53.1%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:43 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |