Nathan MacKinnon vs Peter Holland
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Holland 48.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 60.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
MacKinnon
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKinnon
Holland
Last 7: MacKinnon 2-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Holland
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
MacKinnon
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
3
MacKinnon
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
49.0% (196)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
50.0% (4)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
33.3% (27)
+3.1%
On even strength, Holland has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Holland is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Holland
Home
42.1% (617)
52.1% (94)
Away
41.7% (540)
43.6% (133)
By Period
MacKinnon
Holland
P1
43.4%
47.6%
P2
40.9%
48.6%
P3
40.8%
45.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |