Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Koivu 51.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 76.0%
Defensive zone
Koivu 69.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
MacKinnon
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKinnon
Koivu
Last 6: MacKinnon 3-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
MacKinnon
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
51.9% (3,221)
-5.8%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
59.3% (437)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.0% (764)
-5.2%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Koivu
Home
49.7% (6,444)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
MacKinnon
Koivu
P1
47.4%
51.1%
P2
46.6%
52.6%
P3
46.1%
51.8%
OT
48.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:32 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 2, 2013 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |