Nathan MacKinnon vs Shawn Horcoff
2013-14 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.2% vs Horcoff 50.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 65.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Last 8: MacKinnon 3-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
MacKinnon
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
MacKinnon
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (407)
52.7% (347)
-10.7%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
40.0% (20)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
36.0% (50)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (350).
MacKinnon shoots right. Horcoff is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Home
42.1% (202)
57.0% (165)
Away
43.6% (250)
45.6% (252)
By Period
MacKinnon
Horcoff
P1
43.3%
46.8%
P2
41.5%
50.6%
P3
44.2%
50.9%
OT
37.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
42.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |