Nathan MacKinnon vs Shawn Horcoff
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 47.5% vs Horcoff 50.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 72.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 66.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 68.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Last 5: MacKinnon 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
MacKinnon
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
MacKinnon
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (365)
50.5% (374)
-5.3%
Power Play
57.1% (63)
55.0% (60)
+2.1%
On even strength, Horcoff has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
MacKinnon shoots right. Horcoff is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Horcoff
Home
48.0% (225)
50.2% (263)
Away
45.8% (203)
50.2% (209)
By Period
MacKinnon
Horcoff
P1
41.1%
49.0%
P2
49.6%
53.2%
P3
48.9%
48.7%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 14:33 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |