Nathan MacKinnon vs Stephen Gionta
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Gionta 41.2% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 92.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 72.1%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 78.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
MacKinnon
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
MacKinnon
Gionta
Last 9: MacKinnon 7-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
0
MacKinnon
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
MacKinnon
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Gionta
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
40.6% (1,902)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
61.5% (26)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
40.1% (292)
+2.7%
On power play, Gionta has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Gionta
Home
49.7% (6,444)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
MacKinnon
Gionta
P1
47.4%
40.8%
P2
46.6%
41.8%
P3
46.1%
39.8%
OT
48.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 12:26 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:53 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 15, 2014 | 1 | 18:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 3, 2014 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |