Nathan MacKinnon vs Tommy Wingels
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Wingels 44.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wingels 51.2%
Defensive zone
Wingels 56.7%
Neutral zone
Wingels 58.0%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
MacKinnon
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKinnon
Wingels
Last 6: MacKinnon 2-4 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
1
MacKinnon
Wingels
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Wingels
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
0
2
MacKinnon
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
44.2% (871)
+1.9%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
43.2% (74)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.3% (109)
+1.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Wingels is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Wingels
Home
49.7% (6,444)
44.4% (462)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
43.4% (592)
By Period
MacKinnon
Wingels
P1
47.4%
45.1%
P2
46.6%
40.9%
P3
46.1%
46.0%
OT
48.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Nov 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |