Nathan MacKinnon vs Travis Zajac
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 25 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Zajac 54.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 34-25 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 75.3%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 84.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 87.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 82.9%
82.9%
17.1%
MacKinnon
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
34
(59 meetings)
25
34
MacKinnon
Zajac
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
9
10
MacKinnon
Zajac
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
6
9
MacKinnon
Zajac
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
10
15
MacKinnon
Zajac
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
54.4% (9,056)
-8.3%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
59.1% (1,498)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
48.6% (1,599)
-5.8%
On even strength, Zajac has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Zajac
Home
49.7% (6,444)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
MacKinnon
Zajac
P1
47.4%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
55.6%
P3
46.1%
53.6%
OT
48.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 15:37 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 3 | 05:22 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2019 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:01 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |