Nathan MacKinnon vs Zack Smith

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Zack Smith holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor Smith leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 78.1%
Defensive zone Smith 55.8%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 54.8%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
MacKinnon Smith
Head-to-Head Record
12 - 16 (28 meetings)
12
16
MacKinnon Smith
Last 10: MacKinnon 5-5 Smith

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
4
MacKinnon Smith
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
6
MacKinnon Smith
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
MacKinnon Smith
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
51.6% (5,265)
-5.5%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
51.2% (342)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
45.3% (985)
-2.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Smith shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Smith
Home
49.7% (6,444)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
MacKinnon
Smith
P1
47.4%
49.9%
P2
46.6%
50.0%
P3
46.1%
51.9%
OT
48.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%
Smith
40.0%
47.0%
50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 30, 2019 2 02:52 Neutral Zack Smith
Nov 30, 2019 1 01:12 Offensive Zack Smith
Jan 16, 2019 3 14:43 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 16, 2019 3 07:49 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 16, 2019 2 16:47 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 16, 2019 2 09:59 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 16, 2019 2 07:01 Defensive Zack Smith
Jan 16, 2019 1 02:18 Offensive Zack Smith
Oct 26, 2018 2 00:00 Neutral Zack Smith
Oct 26, 2018 1 10:56 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 26, 2018 1 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 10, 2017 3 06:44 Neutral Zack Smith
Nov 10, 2017 1 19:51 Neutral Zack Smith
Nov 10, 2017 1 10:11 Offensive Zack Smith
Mar 11, 2017 3 07:34 Defensive Zack Smith
Mar 2, 2017 3 14:34 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 2, 2017 2 18:14 Defensive Zack Smith
Mar 2, 2017 2 17:49 Defensive Zack Smith
Mar 2, 2017 2 14:40 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Mar 2, 2017 2 10:20 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon