Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Kadri 45.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kadri 63.6%
Neutral zone
Kadri 55.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Shaw
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Shaw
Kadri
Last 6: Shaw 4-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Shaw
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
1
Shaw
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
2
0
Shaw
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
44.1% (957)
-0.2%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
51.9% (162)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
50.0% (8)
-4.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Kadri is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (452).
Home / Away
Shaw
Kadri
Home
46.3% (363)
47.0% (555)
Away
39.9% (321)
43.5% (572)
By Period
Shaw
Kadri
P1
47.4%
47.5%
P2
43.0%
45.1%
P3
40.0%
44.2%
OT
46.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
39.8%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 12:09 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |