Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.0%). Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Backes wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 49.3% vs Kadri 48.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.4%
Defensive zone
Kadri 70.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 70.5%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Backes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Backes
Kadri
Last 10: Backes 3-7 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
4
Backes
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
7
Backes
Kadri
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (87)
47.9% (1,051)
-1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
50.0% (66)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
64.3% (14)
47.1% (17)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backes is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Backes shoots right. Kadri is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Backes
Kadri
Home
52.6% (19)
50.3% (576)
Away
48.1% (104)
45.5% (558)
By Period
Backes
Kadri
P1
52.4%
49.9%
P2
55.0%
48.1%
P3
35.9%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.7%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |