Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Backes wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Kadri 54.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 56.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 56.8%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Backes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Backes
Kadri
Last 5: Backes 2-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Backes
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
55.4% (704)
+0.3%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
50.0% (18)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
50.0% (8)
-10.0%
On power play, Backes has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Backes shoots right. Kadri is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Backes
Kadri
Home
55.9% (188)
53.1% (367)
Away
58.7% (121)
57.3% (363)
By Period
Backes
Kadri
P1
53.0%
49.8%
P2
56.6%
53.7%
P3
60.8%
61.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
61.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |