Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Kadri 48.7% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 30-17 in 47 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 60.5%
Neutral zone
Kadri 72.0%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Backes
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
30
(47 meetings)
17
30
Backes
Kadri
Last 10: Backes 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
5
13
Backes
Kadri
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
2
Backes
Kadri
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
6
15
Backes
Kadri
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
48.2% (12,510)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
53.0% (1,892)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
41.0% (293)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Backes
Kadri
Home
50.6% (3,936)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Backes
Kadri
P1
50.1%
49.2%
P2
51.5%
48.8%
P3
50.8%
48.0%
OT
42.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:37 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |