Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Kadri 47.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 80.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 69.8%
Neutral zone
Kadri 52.2%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Gambrell
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Gambrell
Kadri
Last 7: Gambrell 3-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Gambrell
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gambrell
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
46.2% (1,005)
+0.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.3% (199)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
26.7% (30)
+8.4%
On power play, Gambrell has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Kadri is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Kadri
Home
46.6% (161)
47.4% (641)
Away
43.4% (145)
47.6% (593)
By Period
Gambrell
Kadri
P1
44.3%
46.9%
P2
46.6%
49.5%
P3
44.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |