Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.9% vs Kadri 48.7% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 28-21 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 54.6%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 57.9%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 54.7%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Vilardi
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
28
(49 meetings)
21
28
Vilardi
Kadri
Last 10: Vilardi 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
7
11
Vilardi
Kadri
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
10
11
Vilardi
Kadri
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
6
Vilardi
Kadri
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,053)
48.2% (12,510)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.3% (195)
53.0% (1,892)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
41.0% (293)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Vilardi has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Vilardi is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vilardi shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Kadri
Home
47.2% (659)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
46.1% (616)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Vilardi
Kadri
P1
49.6%
49.2%
P2
43.7%
48.8%
P3
46.8%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:27 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:46 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |