Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.4%). Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barron wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barron 47.1% vs Kadri 47.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 88.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 85.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.3%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Barron
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Barron
Kadri
Last 10: Barron 7-3 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
4
Barron
Kadri
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
5
0
Barron
Kadri
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
2
1
Barron
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barron
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (371)
47.4% (821)
+1.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
48.8% (86)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (174)
38.5% (13)
+3.5%
On power play, Kadri has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Barron shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Barron
Kadri
Home
44.9% (283)
46.6% (487)
Away
48.3% (265)
48.3% (433)
By Period
Barron
Kadri
P1
44.8%
52.7%
P2
50.7%
50.2%
P3
43.6%
40.2%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:12 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 24, 2025 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |