Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 45.1% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 80.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 80.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 91.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 84.5%
15.5%
84.5%
Kadri
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Kadri
Backstrom
Last 9: Kadri 7-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
1
Kadri
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (524)
51.2% (654)
-6.4%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
50.9% (110)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
53.9% (76)
-28.9%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kadri is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Kadri shoots left. Backstrom is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kadri
Backstrom
Home
42.9% (310)
52.0% (400)
Away
45.9% (255)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Kadri
Backstrom
P1
41.0%
51.6%
P2
49.7%
51.1%
P3
43.2%
50.7%
OT
20.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |