Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 48.7% vs Patrick 51.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.1%
Defensive zone
Patrick 69.3%
Neutral zone
Patrick 56.8%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Kadri
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Kadri
Patrick
Last 8: Kadri 7-1 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
1
Kadri
Patrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
0
Kadri
Patrick
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (12,510)
50.6% (1,978)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.0% (1,892)
57.5% (120)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (293)
57.7% (26)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Kadri is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (5,319).
Kadri shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Kadri
Patrick
Home
49.1% (7,467)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
48.1% (7,231)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Kadri
Patrick
P1
49.2%
52.9%
P2
48.8%
49.1%
P3
48.0%
51.3%
OT
49.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |