Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 46.5% vs Jokinen 42.8% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 57.8%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 51.5%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 52.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Kadri
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kadri
Jokinen
Last 5: Kadri 2-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kadri
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Kadri
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (1,015)
40.4% (275)
+6.8%
Power Play
41.1% (112)
50.0% (14)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
17.6% (17)
39.0% (41)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Kadri is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (695).
Kadri shoots left. Jokinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Kadri
Jokinen
Home
45.4% (573)
37.9% (145)
Away
46.9% (571)
42.7% (185)
By Period
Kadri
Jokinen
P1
48.9%
48.2%
P2
45.2%
38.5%
P3
43.4%
34.7%
OT
61.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |