Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 45.1% vs Gionta 38.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 78.7%
Defensive zone
Kadri 57.9%
Neutral zone
Kadri 72.2%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Kadri
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kadri
Gionta
Last 6: Kadri 4-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
0
Kadri
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
3
2
Kadri
Gionta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (524)
35.5% (335)
+9.3%
Power Play
37.8% (37)
66.7% (3)
-28.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
30.8% (52)
-5.8%
On power play, Gionta has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Kadri is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Kadri shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Kadri
Gionta
Home
42.9% (310)
34.9% (186)
Away
45.9% (255)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Kadri
Gionta
P1
41.0%
32.5%
P2
49.7%
29.7%
P3
43.2%
42.5%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 09:52 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:36 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 07:25 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 4, 2013 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |