Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kadri wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 49.2% vs Smith 51.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.0%
Defensive zone
Kadri 53.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 61.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Kadri
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kadri
Smith
Last 10: Kadri 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Kadri
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Kadri
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Kadri
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (1,087)
53.6% (550)
-5.9%
Power Play
56.9% (195)
53.5% (71)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
43.5% (108)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kadri is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Kadri shoots left. Smith is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Kadri
Smith
Home
51.1% (664)
56.5% (352)
Away
47.2% (640)
48.0% (377)
By Period
Kadri
Smith
P1
48.9%
52.0%
P2
48.1%
51.5%
P3
49.8%
52.2%
OT
58.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
47.7%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
49.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 1 | 02:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |