Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Burmistrov wins 32.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 42.5% vs Dowd 48.1% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 70.6%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 89.8%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 74.5%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Burmistrov
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Burmistrov
Dowd
Last 5: Burmistrov 0-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Burmistrov
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Burmistrov
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (392)
47.2% (608)
-4.6%
Power Play
30.4% (23)
53.1% (96)
-22.7%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
0.0% (3)
+18.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Burmistrov is 32.5% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Burmistrov shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
Dowd
Home
43.8% (210)
48.7% (384)
Away
37.9% (227)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Burmistrov
Dowd
P1
40.8%
50.2%
P2
39.3%
47.5%
P3
40.9%
46.2%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
34.5%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
40.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 13:16 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |