Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 53.6% vs Dowd 55.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 75.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.9%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 60.7%
60.7%
39.3%
Eakin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Eakin
Dowd
Last 6: Eakin 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
4
0
Eakin
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Eakin
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
0
Eakin
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (423)
58.2% (617)
-5.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
71.4% (7)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (69)
47.2% (144)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Eakin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Eakin is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (252).
Eakin shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Eakin
Dowd
Home
54.8% (259)
58.4% (399)
Away
53.8% (240)
53.9% (369)
By Period
Eakin
Dowd
P1
48.7%
59.0%
P2
54.2%
56.1%
P3
58.8%
54.6%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
54.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 13:47 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |