Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson vs Nic Dowd
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Karlsson 44.5% vs Dowd 51.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Karlsson
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Karlsson
Dowd
Last 6: Karlsson 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Karlsson
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Karlsson
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
1
Karlsson
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Karlsson
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (223)
51.2% (381)
-9.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.9% (89)
-3.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Karlsson is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Karlsson shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Karlsson
Dowd
Home
42.9% (133)
54.6% (218)
Away
40.9% (93)
49.6% (254)
By Period
Karlsson
Dowd
P1
31.1%
50.6%
P2
53.5%
55.1%
P3
39.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Karlsson
46.0%▲
42.5%
42.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jakob Forsbacka Karlsson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |