Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 62.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 59.8%
Neutral zone
Beecher 54.7%
Result
John Beecher favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Beecher
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Beecher
Dowd
Last 5: Beecher 3-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beecher
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Beecher
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
52.2% (835)
+0.6%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
60.0% (10)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
44.0% (350)
-0.6%
On power play, Beecher has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Beecher is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Beecher shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Beecher
Dowd
Home
53.5% (273)
51.5% (619)
Away
50.6% (269)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Beecher
Dowd
P1
51.1%
51.7%
P2
52.3%
51.6%
P3
52.6%
47.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 15:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | John Beecher |