Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 54.5% vs Dowd 48.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 88.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 79.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 81.7%
18.3%
81.7%
Mitchell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mitchell
Dowd
Last 5: Mitchell 1-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Mitchell
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Mitchell
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (485)
47.2% (608)
+8.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.1% (96)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (41)
0.0% (3)
+51.2%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Mitchell is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (219).
Mitchell shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Dowd
Home
61.9% (265)
48.7% (384)
Away
49.1% (273)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Mitchell
Dowd
P1
54.9%
50.2%
P2
56.8%
47.5%
P3
54.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.4%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:40 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |