Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.7%). Look for Kruger on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 50.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.2%
Defensive zone
Kruger 85.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.8%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kruger
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kruger
Dowd
Last 7: Kruger 4-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Kruger
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
0
Kruger
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (3,509)
52.4% (6,009)
+0.0%
Power Play
46.5% (99)
56.1% (164)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (860)
44.1% (1,635)
-1.2%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kruger is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,711).
Kruger shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Kruger
Dowd
Home
52.7% (2,242)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
48.3% (2,231)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Kruger
Dowd
P1
49.7%
51.7%
P2
49.7%
50.4%
P3
52.1%
50.3%
OT
53.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 08:17 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |