Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 47.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Talbot 56.6%
Defensive zone
Talbot 66.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.5%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Talbot
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (1,738)
52.4% (6,009)
-4.1%
Power Play
49.0% (51)
56.1% (164)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (631)
44.1% (1,635)
-1.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Talbot shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Talbot
Dowd
Home
48.0% (1,219)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
45.8% (1,215)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Talbot
Dowd
P1
48.7%
51.7%
P2
43.5%
50.4%
P3
48.6%
50.3%
OT
45.0%
45.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%