Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Chaput wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Dowd 48.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 76.7%
Defensive zone
Chaput 60.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.9%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Chaput
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Dowd
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Chaput
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Chaput
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
47.2% (608)
+5.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.1% (96)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
0.0% (3)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Chaput is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Chaput shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
Chaput
Dowd
Home
58.4% (178)
48.7% (384)
Away
47.8% (207)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Chaput
Dowd
P1
52.3%
50.2%
P2
49.6%
47.5%
P3
56.9%
46.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 16:03 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |