Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Petan 45.7% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 93.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.4%
Neutral zone
Petan 52.0%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 75.0%
25.0%
75.0%
Dowd
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowd
Petan
Last 6: Dowd 3-3 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Petan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
Dowd
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Petan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
45.4% (416)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
34.6% (26)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
0.0% (1)
+44.1%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Petan is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Dowd
Petan
Home
51.9% (3,897)
42.3% (196)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
46.6% (247)
By Period
Dowd
Petan
P1
51.7%
51.9%
P2
50.4%
45.0%
P3
50.3%
35.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |