Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.1% vs Petan 47.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 57.8%
Defensive zone
Petan 63.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Dowd
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowd
Petan
Last 6: Dowd 3-3 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Petan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
Dowd
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Petan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (608)
46.5% (299)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.1% (96)
40.0% (15)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Dowd is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Dowd shoots right. Petan is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Dowd
Petan
Home
48.7% (384)
45.8% (131)
Away
46.7% (323)
46.2% (184)
By Period
Dowd
Petan
P1
50.2%
52.6%
P2
47.5%
46.2%
P3
46.2%
37.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Nic Petan |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 03:43 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |