Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 51.6% vs Lindberg 46.7% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindberg 55.2%
Defensive zone
Lindberg 52.6%
Neutral zone
Lindberg 62.2%
Result
Oscar Lindberg favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Dowd
Lindberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Dowd
Lindberg
Last 5: Dowd 2-3 Lindberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Lindberg
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindberg
1
2
Dowd
Lindberg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lindberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (381)
45.2% (217)
+6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (89)
50.0% (4)
+3.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindberg shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Dowd shoots right. Lindberg is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lindberg
Home
54.6% (218)
49.5% (103)
Away
49.6% (254)
41.7% (120)
By Period
Dowd
Lindberg
P1
50.6%
41.1%
P2
55.1%
46.5%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Lindberg
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Oscar Lindberg |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Oscar Lindberg |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Oscar Lindberg |