Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 67.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 63.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Dowd
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Lindholm
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Lindholm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Lindholm
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,097)
49.6% (510)
+2.8%
Power Play
56.0% (166)
50.0% (12)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,646)
45.5% (178)
-1.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,213).
Dowd shoots right. Lindholm is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lindholm
Home
51.9% (3,947)
49.4% (346)
Away
49.6% (3,963)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Dowd
Lindholm
P1
51.6%
42.2%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
50.4%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
58.0%▲
51.0%
50.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |