Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.1%). Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Sheahan leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Sheahan 84.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.8%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.4%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Dowd
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Dowd
Sheahan
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
2
5
Dowd
Sheahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Sheahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Dowd
Sheahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
51.0% (4,968)
+1.4%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
55.6% (322)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
44.3% (1,068)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Dowd
Sheahan
Home
51.9% (3,897)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Dowd
Sheahan
P1
51.7%
51.3%
P2
50.4%
51.2%
P3
50.3%
48.1%
OT
45.9%
35.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 09:34 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 09:17 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |