Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Sheahan 50.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 79.5%
Defensive zone
Sheahan 71.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 62.8%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Dowd
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Dowd
Sheahan
Last 7: Dowd 2-5 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
4
Dowd
Sheahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
1
Dowd
Sheahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
52.8% (381)
+5.4%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
100.0% (7)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
41.7% (115)
+5.5%
On power play, Sheahan has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Sheahan is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Dowd
Sheahan
Home
58.4% (399)
51.7% (300)
Away
53.9% (369)
49.8% (203)
By Period
Dowd
Sheahan
P1
59.0%
56.7%
P2
56.1%
52.3%
P3
54.6%
45.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |