Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Spooner 43.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 93.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Dowd
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dowd
Spooner
Last 7: Dowd 4-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Spooner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Spooner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
43.1% (1,540)
+9.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
46.3% (67)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
42.1% (19)
+2.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Spooner is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Dowd
Spooner
Home
51.9% (3,897)
43.9% (779)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Dowd
Spooner
P1
51.7%
45.0%
P2
50.4%
46.2%
P3
50.3%
38.2%
OT
45.9%
35.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 23, 2017 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |