Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 51.6% vs Spooner 51.2% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 68.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.1%
Neutral zone
Spooner 50.5%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Dowd
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Dowd
Spooner
Last 5: Dowd 3-2 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Spooner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Spooner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (381)
52.5% (99)
-1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
46.2% (13)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (89)
100.0% (1)
-46.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Dowd is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Dowd shoots right. Spooner is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Dowd
Spooner
Home
54.6% (218)
55.2% (58)
Away
49.6% (254)
49.1% (55)
By Period
Dowd
Spooner
P1
50.6%
55.3%
P2
55.1%
58.3%
P3
50.0%
41.4%
Final 5 min
56.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2018 | 2 | 03:32 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:59 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:20 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 17, 2018 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |