Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 97.1%
Defensive zone
Zajac 58.3%
Neutral zone
Zajac 69.2%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 76.7%
23.3%
76.7%
Dowd
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
15
(34 meetings)
19
15
Dowd
Zajac
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
10
Dowd
Zajac
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
1
Dowd
Zajac
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
4
Dowd
Zajac
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
54.4% (9,056)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
59.1% (1,498)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
48.6% (1,599)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zajac
Home
51.9% (3,897)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Dowd
Zajac
P1
51.7%
53.8%
P2
50.4%
55.6%
P3
50.3%
53.6%
OT
45.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |