Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Dowd wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Zajac 51.2% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 64.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 76.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Dowd
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Dowd
Zajac
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
8
Dowd
Zajac
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
0
Dowd
Zajac
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
3
Dowd
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
53.5% (480)
+4.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
48.4% (62)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
37.7% (61)
+9.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Dowd is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Dowd shoots right. Zajac is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Dowd
Zajac
Home
58.4% (399)
51.7% (352)
Away
53.9% (369)
51.0% (251)
By Period
Dowd
Zajac
P1
59.0%
45.0%
P2
56.1%
61.5%
P3
54.6%
46.0%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.5%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 16:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |