Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.6%). Look for Filppula on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Filppula 50.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Filppula 94.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.2%
Result
Valtteri Filppula favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Dowd
Filppula
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Dowd
Filppula
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Filppula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Filppula
1
2
Dowd
Filppula
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Filppula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
3
Dowd
Filppula
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Filppula
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
50.7% (7,257)
+1.7%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
54.4% (1,152)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
44.0% (811)
+0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Filppula shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Filppula is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,346).
Home / Away
Dowd
Filppula
Home
51.9% (3,897)
51.5% (4,842)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
49.5% (4,396)
By Period
Dowd
Filppula
P1
51.7%
50.1%
P2
50.4%
50.3%
P3
50.3%
51.0%
OT
45.9%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Filppula
52.0%▲
45.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Valtteri Filppula |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Valtteri Filppula |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |