Scouting Report
Nic Petan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.7% vs Petan 47.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 68.1%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 58.2%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 56.7%
Result
Dennis Rasmussen favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Rasmussen
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rasmussen
Petan
Last 5: Rasmussen 3-2 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Petan
0
1
Rasmussen
Petan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
1
0
Rasmussen
Petan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
2
1
Rasmussen
Petan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (310)
46.5% (299)
-1.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
40.0% (15)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (57)
0.0% (1)
+40.4%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Rasmussen is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Rasmussen shoots left. Petan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Petan
Home
43.4% (159)
45.8% (131)
Away
45.5% (211)
46.2% (184)
By Period
Rasmussen
Petan
P1
47.2%
52.6%
P2
43.0%
46.2%
P3
44.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
43.3%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
52.0%▲
46.0%
44.6%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2017 | 1 | 15:37 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 3 | 06:27 | Defensive | Dennis Rasmussen |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Nic Petan |