Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Petan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.8% vs Petan 47.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 85.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 82.0%
Neutral zone
Carter 87.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Carter
Petan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Carter
Petan
Last 6: Carter 5-1 Petan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Petan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Petan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
Petan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Petan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,137)
46.5% (299)
+6.9%
Power Play
48.7% (154)
40.0% (15)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (124)
0.0% (1)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Petan shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Carter shoots right. Petan is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Carter
Petan
Home
54.8% (753)
45.8% (131)
Away
48.6% (662)
46.2% (184)
By Period
Carter
Petan
P1
52.8%
52.6%
P2
53.0%
46.2%
P3
49.9%
37.9%
Final 5 min
49.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.9%
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 17:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Nic Petan |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |