Scouting Report
Nic Petan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kero on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Petan wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Petan 47.0% vs Kero 45.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Petan 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kero 55.8%
Neutral zone
Petan 52.1%
Result
Nic Petan favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Petan
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Petan
Kero
Last 7: Petan 1-6 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Petan
1
0
Petan
Kero
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kero
0
2
Petan
Kero
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kero
0
4
Petan
Kero
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Petan
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (299)
45.9% (434)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (15)
50.0% (2)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
25.7% (35)
-25.7%
On penalty kill, Kero has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Petan is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Petan shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Petan
Kero
Home
45.8% (131)
47.7% (214)
Away
46.2% (184)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Petan
Kero
P1
52.6%
44.4%
P2
46.2%
48.5%
P3
37.9%
39.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Petan
34.0%▼
43.0%
46.0%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Feb 10, 2017 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 13:02 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Nic Petan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 14:56 | Defensive | Tanner Kero |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Tanner Kero |