Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Shore on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 45.2% vs Shore 50.2% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 56.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 54.3%
Neutral zone
Wagner 55.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Wagner
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wagner
Shore
Last 7: Wagner 3-4 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Shore
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wagner
Shore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shore
1
2
Wagner
Shore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (133)
51.7% (635)
-9.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
41.2% (17)
+58.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
39.1% (69)
-3.4%
On power play, Wagner has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Wagner is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Wagner shoots right. Shore is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Wagner
Shore
Home
36.5% (96)
48.2% (332)
Away
51.9% (52)
51.9% (389)
By Period
Wagner
Shore
P1
41.3%
49.1%
P2
38.2%
53.2%
P3
46.8%
47.8%
Final 5 min
30.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
41.9%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:29 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:58 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |