Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.5% vs Shore 51.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 74.2%
Defensive zone
Shore 82.7%
Neutral zone
Shore 81.4%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
McDavid
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
McDavid
Shore
Last 6: McDavid 4-2 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Shore
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Shore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McDavid
Shore
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (578)
51.9% (661)
-11.2%
Power Play
56.3% (16)
75.0% (20)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
43.3% (60)
+6.7%
On power play, Shore has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. McDavid is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
McDavid shoots left. Shore is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
McDavid
Shore
Home
42.7% (323)
53.4% (348)
Away
39.5% (281)
50.4% (393)
By Period
McDavid
Shore
P1
42.3%
49.4%
P2
37.3%
53.6%
P3
43.4%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.2%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:56 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 2 | 14:11 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 07:35 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 25, 2015 | 1 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |